Psychic Breakthroughs Today
The Failure of Scepticism
.... Now let's turn to another sceptic and critic of parapsychology.
This is a sceptic who is familiar with the field.
A Magician's Crusade Against the Paranormal
One of parapsychology's more recent attackers is James ('the Amazing')
Randi, a magician-turned-debunker from Rumson, New Jersey. As
a former escape artist and mentalist, Randi has been waging a
holy war against psychics and parapsychologists for several years.
Randi's most complete challenge to the field comes by way of his
recent book Flim-Flam! It was originally published in 1980
and was subtitled 'the truth about unicorns, parapsychology and
ocher delusions'. Despite this cynical subtitle, very little in
the book is concerned with conventional parapsychology at all.
Most of it is devoted to such disreputable topics as 'fairy' photographs,
the ancient astronaut controversy, biorhythms, and other 'scientific'
borderlands.
So just what areas of parapsychology does Mr Randi cover
in his book? Most of the coverage is devoted to what most scientifically-trained
psi researchers snidely call 'pop' parapsychology or 'drug store'
parapsychology. This is the world of television psychics, psychic
surgery, Kirlian photography, do-it-yourself ESP development courses,
and so on. These are areas towards which most orthodox parapsychologists
cast a scornful as well as sceptical eye Randi never tells his
readers this, of course. But now and again he does talk about
and criticize more legitimate parapsychology, and it is here where
he is at his glorious worst. Time and time again he flagrantly
misrepresents what parapsychologists have said about psychic phenomena.
If this weren't bad enough, he goes on to woefully misquote and
misdescribe their research.
This fact can no better be illustrated than by examining what
Randi has to say about two well-known bodies of research:
1. The research of Dr Charles Tart of the University of California
at Davis, who has been testing to see if certain people can be
trained to learn ESP.
2. The highly publicized research of Russell Targ and Dr Harold
Puthoff formerly of the Menlo Park, California-based Stanford
Research Institute. Their investigations included a series of
PK tests with Ingo Swann; some ESP experiments with Uri Geller;
and considerable research into the byways of 'remote viewing'.
By examining what Randi says about this research, one sees him
for what he really is - either a hopelessly confused critic who
just doesn't seem capable of understanding the sophisticated way
parapsychological research is designed and conducted, or a shrewd
antagonist for whom debunking has become a holy war in which deliberate
distortion and misrepresentation become a valid means towards
a greater end.
Mr Randi's brief attack on Dr Tart's research on ESP learning
is a good case in point. If you will recall, Dr Tart conducted
some of his research at the University of California at Davis
in the early 1970s with the use of a ten-choice trainer. The project
was designed to determine if a subject's ESP scores would improve
if he was given immediate feedback about his/her successes and
failures. The experiments were simply run. Each subject was placed
in an experimental room with a console in front of him. This console
depicted ten playing cards, which were arranged in a circle. A
light was located next to each one. The experimenter remained
in another room in front of a similar console, where he was provided
with a television monitor so that he could see the subject. The
experimenter randomly chose a series of 'targets' by relying on
a sequence of digits generated randomly by a device hooked to
the set up. He signalled the subject after generating each target,
and the subject then made his choice. After this choice was recorded,
the experimenter then informed the subject of the correct target
by illuminating the proper light on the subject's console. Some
of Dr Tart's best subjects scored phenomenally above chance, with
accumulative odds of millions to one against chance. Randi feels
confident he can explain Dr Tart's results, for he writes that:
. . . Sherman Stein, a mathematician at the University of California
at Los Angeles where the tests were done, in examining the raw
data on which the book was based, came upon an anomaly. It seems
that though Tart had checked out his random-number generator and
found it gave a good distribution of digits, it did not
repeat digits as it should. In 5000 digits produced by
the machine, there should have been close to 500 'twins'. If,
for example, a three comes up, there is exactly one chance in
ten that another three will be produced next. There were only
193 twins - 39 per cent of the number expected. Since a subject
in such tests had a tendency not to repeat a digit just used,
this bias of the machine fits in nicely with the results observed.
It is remarkable how many errors and distortions crop up in just
this one paragraph alone. It was, in fact, Dr Tart himself who
first noticed the lack of double digits. Being a good and conscientious
experimenter, this led him to seek the advice of Dr Stein (who
teaches at the University of California at Davis and not at UCLA).
But is it true, to quote Randi, that 'the bias of the machine
fits in neatly with the results observed'? Not on your life!
The scoring of some of Tart's subjects was so astonishingly high
that the generator's slight bias does not appreciably alter the
overall significance of the tests. This is true even if we adjusted
the statistics to take this flaw into account. Anyone who takes
the time to read Dr Tart's Learning to Use ESP can determine
this for himself by recomputing the statistics. Despite this fact,
Randi deliberately implies that Tart's work was not significant
when it is re-evaluated. This misrepresentation is all the more
serious since Randi surely realizes that his argument is totally
ridiculous.
When Dr Tart's book was first published, it was critically reviewed
in the New York Review of Books by Martin Gardner, one
of parapsychology's most caustic critics and a long-time friend
of Randi's. Gardner had learned of the bias in Tart's work from
Dr Stein, so he brought up the issue in his review with seeming
relish. But after a lengthy series of exchanges with Dr Tart,
even Gardner had to back down on this point! Since Gardner and
Randi are fellow members of CSICOP the magician must have been
aware when he wrote his book that his lame 'statistical bias'
theory had been settled long ago.
Of course, Randi's criticisms of Dr Tart are really rather peripheral
to Flim-Flam! The main crux of the book is to make a frontal
attack on Russell Targ, Harold Puthoff, and the entire SRI research
programme in parapsychology. This would include their remote viewing
experiments, as well as their work with such 'star' psychics as
Ingo Swann and Uri Geller, the famous Israeli telepath and psychic
'metal-bender' Being that I was able to personally visit SRI to
investigate Randi's claims and charges, I can only describe his
chapter on their work as a shameless bit of prevarication.
Space limitations will not permit me to expose all of Randi's
errors and misrepresentations. So the following pages will cover
only a few of his more important criticisms.
To begin with, Randi particularly flays a series of magnetometer
'demonstrations' which Dr Puthoff conducted with Ingo Swann at
Stanford University in 1972. Since these experiments were not
discussed earlier in this volume, the following represents a brief
summary of what occurred.
The idea behind these tests was to see if Swann could influence
a magnetometer, buried under a physics building around which a
decaying magnetic field was set. Since the magnetometer was protected
by a super-conducting shield, the output of the decaying field
should have been impervious to any random influences. These brief
experiments were described by Targ and Puthoff in their book Mind-Reach,
in which they report that Swann was asked to interfere with
the magnetometer by 'remote viewing' it. When Swann began to describe
the device, the output of the decay pattern suddenly doubled!
(This was easy to determine since a chart recorder was constantly
monitoring the decay pattern.) This curious phenomenon was witnessed
not only by Dr Puthoff, but also by Dr Arthur Hebard, a young
Stanford physicist. The perturbation lasted for thirty seconds
and Dr Hebard was surprised by this effect, since the strange
output seemed to be physically inexplicable. So he suggested that
Swann stop the output of the device completely. Swann tried
and succeeded within seconds! He produced this same result later
during the test by merely thinking about the machine, and the
results did not seem due to some quirk in the magnetometer. The
magnetometer chart was examined for two hours after Swann left
the building, but no odd perturbations were noted during this
control period.
Mr Randi completely disputes this sequence of events. He reports
that Dr Hebard was not happy with Swann's demonstration. The physicist
was particularly annoyed that neither Russell Targ nor Dr Puthoff
bothered to ask whether or not a normal explanation - such as
equipment malfunction - could account for the effects. Randi then
goes on to challenge other aspects of the demonstration. Based
on his personal conversations with Dr Hebard, Randi next claims
that a total of fifteen minutes went by between the time Swann
began focusing his attention on the magnetometer when the perturbation
really took place. It was only then, claims Randi, that Swann
asked the experimenters, 'Is that what I'm supposed to do?' The
magician further claims that Swann was never asked to stop the
output of the magnetometer. The chart suddenly produced a levelling
out, and then Swann opportunely asserted that he had produced
the effect.
When I spoke to Dr Puthoff about these charges, the SRI physicist
grew extremely annoyed. He disputed Randi's information and explained
in no uncertain terms that not more than sixty seconds went by
between Swann's 'remote viewing' procedure and the occurrence
of the magnetometer's first perturbation. He also maintained that
Dr Hebard - unimpressed by the effect - had off-handedly suggested
that it would be more impressive if Swann could cause the magnetometer's
output to cease.
There obviously exist several discrepancies between Dr Puthoff's
views on what happened during this experiment, and what Randi
claims Dr Hebard told him. So to clarify the matter, I decided
to get in touch with Dr Hebard myself. I finally tracked him down
at the Bell Telephone Laboratories in Murray Hill, New Jersey.
He was very willing to discuss the Swann magnetometer demonstration
with me, and professed to be very interested in parapsychology.
It become quite clear during our phone conversation that Dr Hebard's
memory of Swann's performance differed somewhat from Puthoff's.
He disagreed with the physicist primarily about the length of
time that passed from when Swann first attempted to remote view
the magnetometer and when the subsequent perturbations took place.
He recalled that several minutes passed by, as Randi asserts,
and not merely several seconds, Dr Hebard denied in no uncertain
terms, however, Randi's claim that Swann was never asked to 'stop
the field charge' being recorded from the magnetometer. He easily
recalled that he had suggested that it would be a fascinating
effect if Swann could produce it . . . which, of course, he actually
did soon after the suggestion was made Randi also directly quotes
Dr Hebard as calling some of Targ and Puthoff's claims 'lies'.
Dr Hebard was very annoyed by this claim since, as he explained
to me, Randi had tried to get him to make this charge and he had
refused. Dr Hebard later signed a statement to this effect for
me.
So while Randi has indeed shown that there are several unanswered
questions about Swann's Stanford demonstration, he has certainly
not provided the definitive scenario of what happened that
day. His portrayal of Dr Hebard as a strong critic of both Targ
and Puthoff and parapsychology also seems questionable, while
his summary of his conversations with the physicist is rather
inaccurate as well. (I might add that several weeks after I spoke
to Dr Hebard, Dr Puthoff showed me the actual graphed print-outs
given by the magnetometer during the Swann demonstrations. The
records supported Dr Puthoff's contention more than they did Dr
Hebard's.)
Randi doesn't end his attack on SRI with his comments on Ingo Swann, though. His
real focus is the research that SRI conducted with Uri Geller, which was designed
to study his purported telepathic and clairvoyant powers. This research was first
published in Nature in October
1974. Since Nature is a prestigious British science publication, the SRI
report caused a stir in scientific circles. Their report claimed that Geller,
while sequestered in a sealed isolation booth, successfully and repeatedly reproduced
drawings sent to him telepathically. The SRI researchers also explained that Geller
was able to 'call' the uppermost face of a single die shaken in a closed box.
Naturally, our beloved debunker plays down the importance of the
Nature paper and states that 'as early as 1972, Russell
Targ and Harold Puthoff, its authors, had submitted it to US publications
as a project of the Stanford Research Institute (SRI). All had
rejected it.' Now this is blatantly untrue, since Targ and Puthoff
had made no prior submission. Their goal was always to submit
their report to Nature. Randi also snidely comments that
the Nature paper was published with an editorial explaining
that the report was being issued 'so that scientists could see
the kind of. material that was being turned out in the field of
parapsychology, and typified it as 'weak' and 'flawed.'
Randi here engages in a series of half-truths, since he seems
to be implying that the paper was published in order to embarrass
parapsychology. The truth of the matter was that the editors of
Nature found many flaws in the report with which to take
issue. But they clearly stated in their editorial that they had
decided on publication despite some of their reservations. They
simply felt that they had an obligation to bring this type of
research to the attention of their readers since the experiments
had been conducted by legitimate scientists. The editorial was
perfectly respectful and contained none of the innuendos implied
by Randi.
So let's look at the way Randi thinks Geller pulled the wool over
Targ and Puthoff's eyes during the most critical series
of experiments they ran together.
The focal point of the SRI's Nature report concerned a
series of experiments designed to explore or expose Geller's purported
telepathic powers. For this carefully conducted series of tests,
the psychic was placed in an isolation booth at SRI, while the
experimenters remained in an adjoining room and selected the targets
from a dictionary. (They opened the dictionary randomly and then
sketched the first drawable word listed on the page) This drawing
was then hung up for everyone - researchers and on-lookers alike
- to see. Geller's job was to reproduce these drawings from his
position inside the sealed chamber by telepathy. While there still
remains some unanswered questions concerning the times Geller
'passed' on a drawing (i.e., refused to draw it), some of his
successes were simply astounding. There is simply no way coincidence
can explain some of them. For example,
for one trial Geller drew a bunch of twenty-three grapes. The target was
not only a similar drawing, but the grapes in that picture were
even placed in the same configuration. Either this result was due to
telepathy or somehow Geller managed to see the target before reproducing
it.
Randi opts for the fraud theory, and he even thinks he knows how
Geller carried out the shenanigans. He offers his readers a diagram
of the booth and adjoining room where the tests were held. This
diagram shows that a four-and-a-half inch hole (used to extend
cables in and out of the booth) is situated in the booth three
feet above the floor. Randi claims that Geller merely peeked through
this hole for at least two of the drawing tests, and either saw
the targets or was signalled by a confederate located in the adjoining
room. While the magician points out that the hole is usually kept
stuffed with gauze, he believes that Geller simply withdrew the
material while carrying out his secret observations.
This all sounds reasonable enough until you check out the booth
which I was able to do when I visited SRI on 12 June 1981. I found,
first, that the hole is not four-and-a-half inches wide at all.
It is three-and-a-quarter inches and extends thorough a twelve-and-a-half
inch wall. This scopes your vision and severely limits what you
can see through it. The hole is not left open either, since it
is covered by a plate through which cables are routinely run.
Dr Puthoff and his colleague were, however, concerned that their
subject might be ingenious enough to insert an optical probe through
this hole, so they monitored the opening throughout their telepathy
experiments. But the most embarrassing error Randi makes concerns
the position of the hole. It isn't three feet above the floor,
but is located only a little above floor level. The only thing
you can see through it - even under optimal conditions - is a
small bit of exterior floor and opposing wall. (The viewing radius
is only about 20°, and the targets for the Geller experiments
were hung on a different wall completely.) I also discovered during
my trip to SRI that an equipment rack was situated in front of
the hole throughout the Geller work, which obstructed any view
through it even further. I ended my little investigation by talking
with two people who were present during these critical experiments.
They both agreed that wires were running through the hole - therefore
totally blocking it - during the time of the Geller experiments.
Little more needs to be said concerning Randi's criticisms of
the Geller work, since the important point is not really whether
the Israeli psychic proved his psychic powers, but whether Randi
can be considered a responsible critic of parapsychology. I think
the answer should be obvious by now. This fact, however, doesn't
keep him from making wild accusations against both Targ and Puthoff,
even to the point of questioning their scientific honesty.
It is well known that the two SRI physicists issued a film which
shows Geller successfully guessing the uppermost face of a die
after it had been shaken in a closed box. Their Nature report
describes these tests and phenomenal accuracy. The critical film
was taken by Zev Pressman (an SRI staff photographer) and it shows
Geller correctly making a guess. Randi claims that Targ and Puthoff
lied when they stated that this film was taken during the actual
tests. He further asserts that the film was a re-enactment. Basing
his charges on information he claims came from Pressman himself,
Randi maintains that the film was taken after the photographer
had gone home and was merely staged. 'Pressman revealed that he
was told Geller's eight successful throws [my emphasis]
were done after he (Pressman) had gone home for the day, writes
Randi, 'and that this film was a re-enactment of that supposed
miracle'
Dr Puthoff was thoroughly disgusted when I read this section of
Flim-Flam! to him. 'Not one millimetre of that film was
a re-enactment, he told me. He also claimed that he had even procured
an affidavit from Pressman certifying that the footage was filmed
by him during the actual SRI tests. Dr Puthoff supplied me with
this affidavit and urged me to get in touch with Mr Pressman,
which is exactly I did.
l spoke directly with Mr Pressman on 5 January 1981 and he was
quite interested when I told him about Randi's book. He denied
that he had spoken to the magician. When l read him the section
of Randi's book dealing with his alleged 'expose' of the Targ-Puthoff
film, he became very vexed. He firmly backed up the authenticity
of the film, told me how he had taken it on the spot, and labelled
Randi's allegation as a total fabrication. (His own descriptive
language was a little more colourful!)
So just where did Randi come up with this nonsense about the SRI's
Geller film? Randi does not specifically state that he personally
spoke to Pressman, although he vaguely implies it. It seems instead
that he procured this piece of misinformation from another
SRI source, who was perhaps honesty mistaken about the film. Randi
then repeated the error, never checked out his source, and used
the error to make wild accusations against the SRI experimenters.
The truly hilarious thing about this mess is that no film showing
Geller making eight hits in a row was ever shot! Pressman
only filmed one experiment, in which Geller is seen 'passing'
- although guessing correctly - on the test. So Randi wasn't even
able to describe the SRI film correctly, and he certainly never
saw it.
So much for Randi's attacks on Geller and those who have studied
him.
Finally we and Randi came to Targ and Puthoff's original 'remote
viewing' research, which they pioneered at SRI, (as discussed
earlier) during some informal tests conducted with Ingo Swann.
These tests were refined when the physicists began conducting
similar experiments with the late Pat Price, another gifted psychic
and a former Burbank, California police commissioner. For these
initial experiments, the subject was kept at SRI while an outbound
experimenter drove to a location somewhere in the San Francisco
Bay area. The subject was simply asked to visualize the outbound
experimenter's location and describe it. After each session was
completed, the subject was taken to the target site and a comparison
was informally made between the location and the subject's description.
During these early trials, each subject usually co-operated in
a series of such sessions. The transcripts for all the
sessions were then given to an independent (blind) judge, who
then visited the sites or examined photographs of them. He then
tried to match the sites with the descriptions. The overall success
of these sets of remote viewing experiments was therefore based
not only on the quality of the subject's responses, but
by way of statistical tests calculated from the judge's correct
matchings.
The only criticism that Randi can come up with is to complain
that the SRI judging procedures were extremely faulty. This criticism
is not an original one, for Randi bases his information on some
'findings' made by two New Zealand psychologists - the late Richard
Kammann and David Marks - who visited SRI when the remote viewing
research was first beginning to come to scientific attention.
(They report on their visit in their own book The Psychology
of the Psychic.) Drs. Marks and Kammann discovered that the
SRI researchers often forgot to edit out little 'clues' in the
transcripts, clues that could have helped the independent judge
to determine which target went to which description. For instance,
in one test the subject was told that he already had 'three successes'
behind him. The judge was thus clued to the fact that this transcript
corresponded to the fourth session and target site But this wasn't
all that the psychologists claimed. For according to Randi, they
also 'discovered [that] the judges had been given the locations
in chronological order, and they knew it. The barest trace of
experimental care would have demanded that this list be "scrambled"
But it was not.' Randi then goes on to explain how the two psychologists
then re-edited the transcripts for one particularly successful
series of SRI tests in order to correct this fatal flaw. They
then proceeded to have the entire series rejudged, but their judge
couldn't make the correct matches at all.
'The Targ and Puthoff miracle is out of the window,' declares
Randi.
These criticisms may seem devastating but they really aren't.
To begin with, there certainly were flaws in the early remote
viewing work, and the issue of the faulty editing was crucial.
But parapsychologists working at other laboratories were quick
to point out these problems to their SRI colleagues, who immediately
corrected the flaws. But the story of the SRI remote viewing work
doesn't end here, by any means. Dr Charles Tart eventually came
to take a special interest in these early 'flawed' experiments,
and he re-edited the same remote viewing reports the New Zealand
psychologists had worked with. He deleted the possible cues and
then sent them to be rejudged. This time the results were still
statistically significant.
Nor is it true that the transcripts and/or the sites for the critical
series were given to the judge in chronological order. Some time
after the publication of The Psychology of the Psychic, I
personally spoke to the psychologist in charge of judging this
series. He told me that everything was properly randomized when
he received the materials from SRI.
Of course, our sceptic totally ignores the fact that the remote
viewing effect has been replicated both at SRI and at several
other laboratories, using even more stringent controls than went
into the original experiments. Successful remote viewing experiments
have been reported from Mundelein College in Evanston, Illinois;
from the Lawrence-Livermore Laboratories in California; and recently
from the Institute for Parapsychology in Durham, North Carolina.
So the validity of the remote viewing effect no longer rests on
Targ and Puthoff's experiments alone, but on a large body of experimental
findings . . . findings that even Randi, with all his magical
knowledge, can't make disappear.
Some Concluding Notes
So there rests the sceptic's case. Not every sceptic is this irresponsible,
but the cases we've been evaluating tend to be embarrassingly
typical. The simple fact remains that parapsychology's detractors
have a terrible time explaining away the field's findings. If
psi doesn't exist, this fact would be self-evident by now. So
it is more than revealing that the field's debunkers so often
fall to manufacturing flaws in our experiments - or even,
as with the CSICOP/Gauquelin fiasco, cover up their own
positive findings.
Where does this leave parapsychology? The field certainly seems
to be in healthy shape. There is probably more fruitful research
going on within parapsychology today than during any other time
in its short history. It is also currency turning in even more
exciting directions, and these directions promise to help convert
even more scientists. We briefly examined this trend in chapters
two and three, where the use of ESP for predicting the results
of horse-races and financial investments was discussed.
When parapsychology first became a primarily experimental science,
nobody thought that psi would ever be harnessed for any practical
purpose. No one really thought that there existed a practical
side to the sixth sense. Editorializing back in 1945, in fact,
Dr J.B. Rhine eschewed searching for any real uses for extrasensory
perception or psychokinesis. 'No practical use can be made of
them with our present state of knowledge,' he wrote 'They are
not reliable enough.' Rhine didn't even think that the practical
applications issue was very important to the parapsychology of
his day, for he went on to write that ' . . practical application
has never been the objective of the investigations. This is not
because practical application is regarded as of no importance,
but because the true goals of research are so incomparably greater
in importance that practical application seems downright trivial
in contrast.' The 'true' goal of parapsychology, believed the
Duke researcher, was to disclose mankind's place in the universe.
Since Dr Rhine entered the field to resolve his personal religious
conflicts, this was a reasonable view for him to take. And if
we examine the research projects conducted by parapsychologists
fifty years ago, Rhine's position seems even more logical. The
field had been previously preoccupied with the survival enigma
and was only beginning to turn to the scientific laboratory. Rhine's
pioneering research at Duke University in the 1930s certainly
proved the existence of extrasensory perception and psychokinesis.
But his research strategies - which were basically card-calling
ESP experiments and dice-rolling explorations of PK - were extremely
limited. While they demonstrated that some people possess a sixth
sense, the faculty seemed to be weak and capricious. The Duke
researchers came to feel that the days of the great psychics were
over. These younger parapsychologists, who had been trained specifically
in the lab, even began to wonder whether truly great psychics
ever really existed - or whether their feats were the result of
fraud clever enough to dupe their predecessors. These researchers
began to see ESP and PK as incredibly elusive powers, powers that
surface only rarely. In fact, they didn't even become interested
in ESP and its role in day-to-day life until the 1940s.
What is so ironic is that primitive cultures, these wellsprings
of the sixth sense, have never considered psychic power in this
ludicrously limited way. To these peoples, ESP and PK were (and
are) powerful forces that should be put to work to help their
community.
This point was recently made by Dr Jule Eisenbud, a psychoanalyst
from Denver, Colorado who has been studying parapsychology for
years. Speaking before a conference of anthropologists in 1978,
he pointed to several differences between the Western and the
'primitive' belief-systems concerning psychic phenomena. To the
world of the primitive ' . . behaviours based upon the power of
thought to accomplish things are reality oriented. They simply
make use of processes considered to be inherent in the social
order and the universe.' It was this world view that gave rise
to the Shamanic tradition. The shaman is supposed to employ his
powers for the good of his people. It would be a pretty pathetic
shaman who constancy excused himself for failing to conjure a
rainstorm, couldn't find someone's lost ring, or failed to heal
a member of his community. We are hardly so demanding when we
work with our own psychics!
Luckily, though, we are seeing a real change of attitude within
today's parapsychological community. Practical applications for
the sixth sense is becoming the topic of the 1980s. This promising
area of study has been christened with its own name Psionics
is a term originally coined by Dr Jeffrey Mishlove, who was one
of the first parapsychologists to urge his colleagues to explore
the world of 'applied psi' research. He employs this term to separate
it from formal experimental/laboratory research.
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